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Nigeria’s GDP contracts 0.36 percent, growth hits 25-year low

20 May 2016, 06:07 pm
Financial Nigeria
Nigeria’s GDP contracts 0.36 percent, growth hits 25-year low

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- The last time Nigeria’s economy contracted was in 1995, when GDP fell to -0.3%, and 1991, when growth fell to -0.6%.

Skyline of Marina, Lagos

Nigeria’s economic growth hit negative numbers in the first quarter of 2016, falling to the lowest level since 1991, the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) reported on Friday.

The NBS said GDP fell to -0.36 percent year-on-year (YoY) in Q1 2016 compared with 2.11 percent YoY recorded in Q4 2015 and 3.96 percent YoY recorded in a corresponding quarter of 2015.

The last time Nigeria’s economy contracted was in 1995, when GDP fell to -0.3 percent, and 1991, when growth fell to -0.6 percent, according to World Bank figures.

In Q1 2016, oil GDP was estimated at -1.89 percent compared with -8.28 percent posted in Q4 2015 and -8.15 percent recorded in Q1 2015. Non-oil GDP fell to -0.18 percent from 3.14 percent recorded in Q4 2015 and 5.59 percent recorded in the first quarter of last year.

Electricity and gas GDP declined by -44.4 percent in Q1 2016 from 1.20 percent and -27.92% recorded in Q4 and Q1 2015, respectively. The Industries GDP depreciated by -5.49 percent in Q1 2016 from -3.04 percent recorded in Q4 2015 and -2.53 percent recorded in Q1 2015.

Manufacturing GDP fell by -7.0 percent in Q1 2016 from 0.38 percent and -0.70 percent recorded in q4 and q1 2015, respectively. Other (light) manufacturing GDP declined by -12.22 percent in Q1 2016 from -1.06 percent and -5.67 percent in Q4 and Q1 2015, respectively.

Finance and insurance GDP shrunk by -11.28 percent in Q1 2016 from 6.41 percent and 9.01 percent in Q4 and Q1 2015, respectively, while financial institutions GDP declined by -13.1 percent in the first quarter of 2016 from 6.62 percent and 9.52 percent in Q4  and Q1 2015, respectively.

In the period under review, the NBS said some sectors of the Nigerian economy recorded positive growth.

In Q1 2016, Agric GDP stood at 3.09 percent compared with 3.48 percent recorded in Q4 2015 and 4.70 percent in Q1 2015. Services GDP was 0.8 percent in the first quarter of this year compared with 3.69 percent in Q4 2014 and 7.94 percent in Q1 2015.

Broadcasting GDP fell by 6.85 percent in Q1 2016 from 13.2 percent and 25.6 percent recorded in Q4 and Q1 2015, respectively. Crop production GDP stood at 3.02 percent in Q1 2016 compared with 3.25 percent and 4.46 percent recorded in Q4 and Q1 2015, respectively.

Transport services GDP growth rate was 2.23 percent in Q1 2016 compared with 5.14 percent and 7.57 percent recorded in Q4 and Q1 2015, respectively. Human health and social services GDP stood at 0.55 percent in Q1 2016 compared with 2.86 percent and 2.11 percent in Q4  and Q1 2015, respectively.


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